Ji Haw (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.36

3011 Stock  TWD 27.10  1.10  4.23%   
Ji Haw's future price is the expected price of Ji Haw instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ji Haw Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ji Haw Backtesting, Ji Haw Valuation, Ji Haw Correlation, Ji Haw Hype Analysis, Ji Haw Volatility, Ji Haw History as well as Ji Haw Performance.
  
Please specify Ji Haw's target price for which you would like Ji Haw odds to be computed.

Ji Haw Target Price Odds to finish below 27.36

The tendency of 3011 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 27.36  after 90 days
 27.10 90 days 27.36 
about 41.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ji Haw to stay under NT$ 27.36  after 90 days from now is about 41.8 (This Ji Haw Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of 3011 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ji Haw Industrial price to stay between its current price of NT$ 27.10  and NT$ 27.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ji Haw has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ji Haw average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ji Haw Industrial Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ji Haw Industrial Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ji Haw Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ji Haw

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ji Haw Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4627.1029.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4228.0630.70
Details

Ji Haw Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ji Haw is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ji Haw's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ji Haw Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ji Haw within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Ji Haw Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ji Haw for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ji Haw Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ji Haw Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ji Haw Industrial Co has accumulated about 444.44 M in cash with (165.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.94.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Ji Haw Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 3011 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ji Haw's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ji Haw's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.7 M
Short Long Term Debt279.6 M

Ji Haw Technical Analysis

Ji Haw's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 3011 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ji Haw Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 3011 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ji Haw Predictive Forecast Models

Ji Haw's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ji Haw's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ji Haw's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ji Haw Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ji Haw for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ji Haw Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ji Haw Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ji Haw Industrial Co has accumulated about 444.44 M in cash with (165.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.94.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 3011 Stock Analysis

When running Ji Haw's price analysis, check to measure Ji Haw's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ji Haw is operating at the current time. Most of Ji Haw's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ji Haw's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ji Haw's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ji Haw to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.