Kangping Technology (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.9

300907 Stock   23.16  0.10  0.43%   
Kangping Technology's future price is the expected price of Kangping Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kangping Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kangping Technology Backtesting, Kangping Technology Valuation, Kangping Technology Correlation, Kangping Technology Hype Analysis, Kangping Technology Volatility, Kangping Technology History as well as Kangping Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Kangping Technology's target price for which you would like Kangping Technology odds to be computed.

Kangping Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 23.9

The tendency of Kangping Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  23.90  after 90 days
 23.16 90 days 23.90 
about 91.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kangping Technology to stay under  23.90  after 90 days from now is about 91.31 (This Kangping Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Kangping Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kangping Technology price to stay between its current price of  23.16  and  23.90  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kangping Technology Co has a beta of -0.0449. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kangping Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kangping Technology Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kangping Technology Co has an alpha of 0.5487, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kangping Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kangping Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kangping Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.6124.0927.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9518.4325.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.6622.1325.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.4423.3824.32
Details

Kangping Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kangping Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kangping Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kangping Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kangping Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Kangping Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kangping Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kangping Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kangping Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kangping Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kangping Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kangping Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kangping Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96 M

Kangping Technology Technical Analysis

Kangping Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kangping Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kangping Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kangping Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kangping Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Kangping Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kangping Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kangping Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kangping Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kangping Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kangping Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kangping Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Kangping Stock

Kangping Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kangping Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kangping with respect to the benefits of owning Kangping Technology security.