Iat Automobile (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.96
| 300825 Stock | 12.13 0.07 0.58% |
Iat |
Iat Automobile Target Price Odds to finish over 25.96
The tendency of Iat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 25.96 or more in 90 days |
| 12.13 | 90 days | 25.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iat Automobile to move over 25.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Iat Automobile Technology probability density function shows the probability of Iat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iat Automobile Technology price to stay between its current price of 12.13 and 25.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Iat Automobile Technology has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Iat Automobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Iat Automobile Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Iat Automobile Technology has an alpha of 0.5812, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Iat Automobile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Iat Automobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iat Automobile Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Iat Automobile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iat Automobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iat Automobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iat Automobile Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iat Automobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Iat Automobile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iat Automobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iat Automobile Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Iat Automobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IAT Automobile Technology Co., Ltd. Closed the acquisition of 4.44 percent stake in Sichuan IAT New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd. from Chengdu Advanced Manufacturing Industrial Investment Co., Ltd. for CNY 20 million. - Marketscreener.com |
Iat Automobile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iat Automobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iat Automobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 492 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 542.4 M |
Iat Automobile Technical Analysis
Iat Automobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iat Automobile Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Iat Automobile Predictive Forecast Models
Iat Automobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iat Automobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iat Automobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Iat Automobile Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Iat Automobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iat Automobile Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Iat Automobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IAT Automobile Technology Co., Ltd. Closed the acquisition of 4.44 percent stake in Sichuan IAT New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd. from Chengdu Advanced Manufacturing Industrial Investment Co., Ltd. for CNY 20 million. - Marketscreener.com |
Other Information on Investing in Iat Stock
Iat Automobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iat with respect to the benefits of owning Iat Automobile security.