Contemporary Amperex (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 220.15

300750 Stock   262.71  7.08  2.62%   
Contemporary Amperex's future price is the expected price of Contemporary Amperex instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Contemporary Amperex Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Contemporary Amperex Backtesting, Contemporary Amperex Valuation, Contemporary Amperex Correlation, Contemporary Amperex Hype Analysis, Contemporary Amperex Volatility, Contemporary Amperex History as well as Contemporary Amperex Performance.
  
Please specify Contemporary Amperex's target price for which you would like Contemporary Amperex odds to be computed.

Contemporary Amperex Target Price Odds to finish over 220.15

The tendency of Contemporary Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  220.15  in 90 days
 262.71 90 days 220.15 
about 85.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Contemporary Amperex to stay above  220.15  in 90 days from now is about 85.48 (This Contemporary Amperex Technology probability density function shows the probability of Contemporary Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Contemporary Amperex price to stay between  220.15  and its current price of 262.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Contemporary Amperex Technology has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Contemporary Amperex are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Contemporary Amperex Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Contemporary Amperex Technology has an alpha of 0.602, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Contemporary Amperex Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Contemporary Amperex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Contemporary Amperex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
256.47260.85265.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
215.46219.84288.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
276.08280.47284.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.442.682.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Contemporary Amperex. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Contemporary Amperex's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Contemporary Amperex's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Contemporary Amperex.

Contemporary Amperex Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Contemporary Amperex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Contemporary Amperex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Contemporary Amperex Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Contemporary Amperex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
27.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Contemporary Amperex Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Contemporary Amperex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Contemporary Amperex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Contemporary Amperex appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Contemporary Amperex is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: CATL mulls Hong Kong listing to raise at least 5 billion, Bloomberg News reports - Marketscreener.com

Contemporary Amperex Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Contemporary Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Contemporary Amperex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Contemporary Amperex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.4 B

Contemporary Amperex Technical Analysis

Contemporary Amperex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Contemporary Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Contemporary Amperex Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Contemporary Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Contemporary Amperex Predictive Forecast Models

Contemporary Amperex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Contemporary Amperex's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Contemporary Amperex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Contemporary Amperex

Checking the ongoing alerts about Contemporary Amperex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Contemporary Amperex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Contemporary Amperex appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Contemporary Amperex is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: CATL mulls Hong Kong listing to raise at least 5 billion, Bloomberg News reports - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Contemporary Stock

Contemporary Amperex financial ratios help investors to determine whether Contemporary Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Contemporary with respect to the benefits of owning Contemporary Amperex security.