Inner Mongolia (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.76
| 300049 Stock | 33.88 1.39 3.94% |
Inner |
Inner Mongolia Target Price Odds to finish below 39.76
The tendency of Inner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 39.76 after 90 days |
| 33.88 | 90 days | 39.76 | about 42.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inner Mongolia to stay under 39.76 after 90 days from now is about 42.82 (This Inner Mongolia Furui probability density function shows the probability of Inner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inner Mongolia Furui price to stay between its current price of 33.88 and 39.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inner Mongolia has a beta of 0.64. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Inner Mongolia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inner Mongolia Furui will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inner Mongolia Furui has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Inner Mongolia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inner Mongolia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inner Mongolia Furui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inner Mongolia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inner Mongolia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inner Mongolia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inner Mongolia Furui, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inner Mongolia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Inner Mongolia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inner Mongolia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inner Mongolia Furui can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inner Mongolia Furui generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inner Mongolia Furui has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Inner Mongolia Furui is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why We Think Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Science Might Deserve Your Attention Today - Simply Wall St |
Inner Mongolia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inner Mongolia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inner Mongolia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 263.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 603.7 M |
Inner Mongolia Technical Analysis
Inner Mongolia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inner Mongolia Furui. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inner Mongolia Predictive Forecast Models
Inner Mongolia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inner Mongolia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inner Mongolia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inner Mongolia Furui
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inner Mongolia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inner Mongolia Furui help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inner Mongolia Furui generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inner Mongolia Furui has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Inner Mongolia Furui is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why We Think Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Science Might Deserve Your Attention Today - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Inner Stock
Inner Mongolia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inner Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inner with respect to the benefits of owning Inner Mongolia security.