OSB GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.78
| 2UK Stock | EUR 4.66 0.04 0.85% |
OSB |
OSB GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 4.78
The tendency of OSB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 4.78 after 90 days |
| 4.66 | 90 days | 4.78 | about 71.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OSB GROUP to stay under € 4.78 after 90 days from now is about 71.61 (This OSB GROUP PLC probability density function shows the probability of OSB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OSB GROUP PLC price to stay between its current price of € 4.66 and € 4.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This suggests OSB GROUP PLC market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, OSB GROUP is expected to follow. Additionally OSB GROUP PLC has an alpha of 0.0437, implying that it can generate a 0.0437 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OSB GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OSB GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OSB GROUP PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OSB GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OSB GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OSB GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OSB GROUP PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OSB GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
OSB GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OSB GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OSB GROUP PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OSB GROUP PLC has accumulated about 2.3 B in cash with (1.35 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.15, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
OSB GROUP Technical Analysis
OSB GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OSB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OSB GROUP PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing OSB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OSB GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
OSB GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many OSB GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OSB GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OSB GROUP PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about OSB GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OSB GROUP PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OSB GROUP PLC has accumulated about 2.3 B in cash with (1.35 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.15, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in OSB Stock
OSB GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether OSB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OSB with respect to the benefits of owning OSB GROUP security.