TRAINLINE PLC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.8
| 2T9A Stock | EUR 4.80 0.12 2.44% |
TRAINLINE |
TRAINLINE PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 4.8
The tendency of TRAINLINE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 4.80 | 90 days | 4.80 | about 91.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRAINLINE PLC to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 91.69 (This TRAINLINE PLC LS probability density function shows the probability of TRAINLINE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TRAINLINE PLC LS has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TRAINLINE PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TRAINLINE PLC LS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TRAINLINE PLC LS has an alpha of 0.4987, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TRAINLINE PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TRAINLINE PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRAINLINE PLC LS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TRAINLINE PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRAINLINE PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRAINLINE PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRAINLINE PLC LS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRAINLINE PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
TRAINLINE PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRAINLINE PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRAINLINE PLC LS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 275.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 152.8 M. | |
| TRAINLINE PLC LS has accumulated about 88.72 M in cash with (62.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
TRAINLINE PLC Technical Analysis
TRAINLINE PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRAINLINE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRAINLINE PLC LS. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRAINLINE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TRAINLINE PLC Predictive Forecast Models
TRAINLINE PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many TRAINLINE PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRAINLINE PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TRAINLINE PLC LS
Checking the ongoing alerts about TRAINLINE PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRAINLINE PLC LS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 275.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 152.8 M. | |
| TRAINLINE PLC LS has accumulated about 88.72 M in cash with (62.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.19. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in TRAINLINE Stock
TRAINLINE PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRAINLINE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRAINLINE with respect to the benefits of owning TRAINLINE PLC security.