Bumitama Agri (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.37
| 2BU Stock | EUR 0.62 0.01 1.59% |
Bumitama |
Bumitama Agri Target Price Odds to finish over 7.37
The tendency of Bumitama Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 7.37 or more in 90 days |
| 0.62 | 90 days | 7.37 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bumitama Agri to move over € 7.37 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bumitama Agri probability density function shows the probability of Bumitama Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bumitama Agri price to stay between its current price of € 0.62 and € 7.37 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bumitama Agri has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bumitama Agri are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bumitama Agri is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bumitama Agri has an alpha of 0.3975, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bumitama Agri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bumitama Agri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bumitama Agri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bumitama Agri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bumitama Agri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bumitama Agri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bumitama Agri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bumitama Agri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Bumitama Agri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bumitama Agri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bumitama Agri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bumitama Agri has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Bumitama Agri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bumitama Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bumitama Agri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bumitama Agri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B |
Bumitama Agri Technical Analysis
Bumitama Agri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bumitama Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bumitama Agri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bumitama Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bumitama Agri Predictive Forecast Models
Bumitama Agri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bumitama Agri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bumitama Agri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bumitama Agri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bumitama Agri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bumitama Agri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bumitama Agri has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Bumitama Stock
Bumitama Agri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bumitama Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bumitama with respect to the benefits of owning Bumitama Agri security.