ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.16
| 28X Stock | EUR 4.94 0.16 3.14% |
ALLIANZ |
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS Target Price Odds to finish below 3.16
The tendency of ALLIANZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.16 or more in 90 days |
| 4.94 | 90 days | 3.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS to drop to € 3.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 probability density function shows the probability of ALLIANZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 price to stay between € 3.16 and its current price of €4.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS has a beta of 0.0328. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 has an alpha of 0.2682, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 249.51 M. | |
| ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 has accumulated about 4.5 M in cash with (510.76 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. |
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS Technical Analysis
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALLIANZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALLIANZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS Predictive Forecast Models
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS's time-series forecasting models is one of many ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025
Checking the ongoing alerts about ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 249.51 M. | |
| ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS 025 has accumulated about 4.5 M in cash with (510.76 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. |
Other Information on Investing in ALLIANZ Stock
ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALLIANZ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALLIANZ with respect to the benefits of owning ALLIANZ TECHNOTRLS security.