DRGEM (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7,457

263690 Stock  KRW 5,550  50.00  0.89%   
DRGEM's future price is the expected price of DRGEM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DRGEM performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DRGEM Backtesting, DRGEM Valuation, DRGEM Correlation, DRGEM Hype Analysis, DRGEM Volatility, DRGEM History as well as DRGEM Performance.
  
Please specify DRGEM's target price for which you would like DRGEM odds to be computed.

DRGEM Target Price Odds to finish over 7,457

The tendency of DRGEM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5,550 90 days 5,550 
about 92.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DRGEM to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.72 (This DRGEM probability density function shows the probability of DRGEM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DRGEM has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, DRGEM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DRGEM will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DRGEM has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   DRGEM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DRGEM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DRGEM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,5485,5505,552
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,1365,1396,105
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,0165,0185,020
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,0675,8406,614
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DRGEM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DRGEM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DRGEM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DRGEM.

DRGEM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DRGEM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DRGEM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DRGEM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DRGEM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
924.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

DRGEM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DRGEM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DRGEM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DRGEM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

DRGEM Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DRGEM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DRGEM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DRGEM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Dividends Paid2.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments22.2 B

DRGEM Technical Analysis

DRGEM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DRGEM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DRGEM. In general, you should focus on analyzing DRGEM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DRGEM Predictive Forecast Models

DRGEM's time-series forecasting models is one of many DRGEM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DRGEM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DRGEM

Checking the ongoing alerts about DRGEM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DRGEM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DRGEM generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in DRGEM Stock

DRGEM financial ratios help investors to determine whether DRGEM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DRGEM with respect to the benefits of owning DRGEM security.