Cub Elecparts (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 105.22
| 2231 Stock | TWD 101.50 4.00 3.79% |
Cub |
Cub Elecparts Target Price Odds to finish below 105.22
The tendency of Cub Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 105.22 after 90 days |
| 101.50 | 90 days | 105.22 | about 83.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cub Elecparts to stay under NT$ 105.22 after 90 days from now is about 83.77 (This Cub Elecparts probability density function shows the probability of Cub Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cub Elecparts price to stay between its current price of NT$ 101.50 and NT$ 105.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cub Elecparts has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cub Elecparts average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cub Elecparts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cub Elecparts has an alpha of 0.0532, implying that it can generate a 0.0532 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cub Elecparts Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cub Elecparts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cub Elecparts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cub Elecparts Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cub Elecparts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cub Elecparts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cub Elecparts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cub Elecparts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Cub Elecparts Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cub Elecparts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cub Elecparts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Cub Elecparts Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cub Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cub Elecparts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cub Elecparts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.9 M |
Cub Elecparts Technical Analysis
Cub Elecparts' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cub Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cub Elecparts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cub Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cub Elecparts Predictive Forecast Models
Cub Elecparts' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cub Elecparts' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cub Elecparts' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cub Elecparts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cub Elecparts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cub Elecparts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Cub Stock Analysis
When running Cub Elecparts' price analysis, check to measure Cub Elecparts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cub Elecparts is operating at the current time. Most of Cub Elecparts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cub Elecparts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cub Elecparts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cub Elecparts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.