TIANQI LITHIUM (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.14

2220 Stock   3.00  0.12  3.85%   
TIANQI LITHIUM's future price is the expected price of TIANQI LITHIUM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TIANQI LITHIUM H performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TIANQI LITHIUM Backtesting, TIANQI LITHIUM Valuation, TIANQI LITHIUM Correlation, TIANQI LITHIUM Hype Analysis, TIANQI LITHIUM Volatility, TIANQI LITHIUM History as well as TIANQI LITHIUM Performance.
  
Please specify TIANQI LITHIUM's target price for which you would like TIANQI LITHIUM odds to be computed.

TIANQI LITHIUM Target Price Odds to finish below 2.14

The tendency of TIANQI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.14  or more in 90 days
 3.00 90 days 2.14 
about 1.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIANQI LITHIUM to drop to  2.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.07 (This TIANQI LITHIUM H probability density function shows the probability of TIANQI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TIANQI LITHIUM H price to stay between  2.14  and its current price of 3.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TIANQI LITHIUM H has a beta of -0.57. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TIANQI LITHIUM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TIANQI LITHIUM H is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TIANQI LITHIUM H has an alpha of 0.726, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TIANQI LITHIUM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIANQI LITHIUM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIANQI LITHIUM H. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.009.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.598.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.339.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.853.183.52
Details

TIANQI LITHIUM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TIANQI LITHIUM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TIANQI LITHIUM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TIANQI LITHIUM H, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TIANQI LITHIUM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

TIANQI LITHIUM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TIANQI LITHIUM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TIANQI LITHIUM H can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIANQI LITHIUM H is way too risky over 90 days horizon
TIANQI LITHIUM H appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

TIANQI LITHIUM Technical Analysis

TIANQI LITHIUM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TIANQI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TIANQI LITHIUM H. In general, you should focus on analyzing TIANQI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TIANQI LITHIUM Predictive Forecast Models

TIANQI LITHIUM's time-series forecasting models is one of many TIANQI LITHIUM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TIANQI LITHIUM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TIANQI LITHIUM H

Checking the ongoing alerts about TIANQI LITHIUM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TIANQI LITHIUM H help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIANQI LITHIUM H is way too risky over 90 days horizon
TIANQI LITHIUM H appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in TIANQI Stock

TIANQI LITHIUM financial ratios help investors to determine whether TIANQI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TIANQI with respect to the benefits of owning TIANQI LITHIUM security.