CSG Holding (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.01
| 200012 Stock | 2.34 0.02 0.85% |
CSG |
CSG Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 2.01
The tendency of CSG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.01 or more in 90 days |
| 2.34 | 90 days | 2.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CSG Holding to drop to 2.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CSG Holding Co probability density function shows the probability of CSG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CSG Holding price to stay between 2.01 and its current price of 2.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CSG Holding Co has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CSG Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CSG Holding Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CSG Holding Co has an alpha of 0.0968, implying that it can generate a 0.0968 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CSG Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CSG Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSG Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CSG Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CSG Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CSG Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CSG Holding Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CSG Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
CSG Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CSG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CSG Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSG Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
CSG Holding Technical Analysis
CSG Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CSG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CSG Holding Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing CSG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CSG Holding Predictive Forecast Models
CSG Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many CSG Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CSG Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CSG Holding in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CSG Holding's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CSG Holding options trading.
Other Information on Investing in CSG Stock
CSG Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSG with respect to the benefits of owning CSG Holding security.