AMBRA SA (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.02
| 1W7 Stock | EUR 5.00 0.10 1.96% |
AMBRA |
AMBRA SA Target Price Odds to finish over 13.02
The tendency of AMBRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 13.02 or more in 90 days |
| 5.00 | 90 days | 13.02 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMBRA SA to move over € 13.02 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AMBRA SA A probability density function shows the probability of AMBRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMBRA SA A price to stay between its current price of € 5.00 and € 13.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AMBRA SA has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AMBRA SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMBRA SA A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AMBRA SA A has an alpha of 0.2262, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AMBRA SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMBRA SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMBRA SA A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AMBRA SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMBRA SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMBRA SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMBRA SA A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMBRA SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AMBRA SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMBRA SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMBRA SA A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
AMBRA SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMBRA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMBRA SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMBRA SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.70 | |
| Float Shares | 9.55M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 28 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 98 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 13.11% |
AMBRA SA Technical Analysis
AMBRA SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMBRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMBRA SA A. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMBRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AMBRA SA Predictive Forecast Models
AMBRA SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMBRA SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMBRA SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMBRA SA A
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMBRA SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMBRA SA A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in AMBRA Stock
AMBRA SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMBRA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMBRA with respect to the benefits of owning AMBRA SA security.