FATFISH GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0065

1JU Stock  EUR 0.01  0.0005  10.00%   
FATFISH GROUP's future price is the expected price of FATFISH GROUP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FATFISH GROUP LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FATFISH GROUP Backtesting, FATFISH GROUP Valuation, FATFISH GROUP Correlation, FATFISH GROUP Hype Analysis, FATFISH GROUP Volatility, FATFISH GROUP History as well as FATFISH GROUP Performance.
  
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FATFISH GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0065

The tendency of FATFISH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FATFISH GROUP to move over € 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FATFISH GROUP LTD probability density function shows the probability of FATFISH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FATFISH GROUP LTD price to stay between its current price of € 0.01  and € 0.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FATFISH GROUP has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FATFISH GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FATFISH GROUP LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover FATFISH GROUP LTD has an alpha of 1.3106, implying that it can generate a 1.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FATFISH GROUP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FATFISH GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FATFISH GROUP LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0112.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00012.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.0112.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.01
Details

FATFISH GROUP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FATFISH GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FATFISH GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FATFISH GROUP LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FATFISH GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.0007
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

FATFISH GROUP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FATFISH GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FATFISH GROUP LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FATFISH GROUP LTD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FATFISH GROUP LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FATFISH GROUP LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FATFISH GROUP LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
FATFISH GROUP LTD has accumulated about 1.06 M in cash with (322.62 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

FATFISH GROUP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FATFISH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FATFISH GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FATFISH GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares477.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.25k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.24k

FATFISH GROUP Technical Analysis

FATFISH GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FATFISH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FATFISH GROUP LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing FATFISH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FATFISH GROUP Predictive Forecast Models

FATFISH GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many FATFISH GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FATFISH GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FATFISH GROUP LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about FATFISH GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FATFISH GROUP LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FATFISH GROUP LTD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FATFISH GROUP LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FATFISH GROUP LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FATFISH GROUP LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
FATFISH GROUP LTD has accumulated about 1.06 M in cash with (322.62 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in FATFISH Stock

FATFISH GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether FATFISH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FATFISH with respect to the benefits of owning FATFISH GROUP security.