FNC Entertainment (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3210.0

173940 Stock  KRW 3,050  90.00  3.04%   
FNC Entertainment's future price is the expected price of FNC Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FNC Entertainment Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FNC Entertainment Backtesting, FNC Entertainment Valuation, FNC Entertainment Correlation, FNC Entertainment Hype Analysis, FNC Entertainment Volatility, FNC Entertainment History as well as FNC Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify FNC Entertainment's target price for which you would like FNC Entertainment odds to be computed.

FNC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 3210.0

The tendency of FNC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 3,210  after 90 days
 3,050 90 days 3,210 
about 14.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FNC Entertainment to stay under W 3,210  after 90 days from now is about 14.39 (This FNC Entertainment Co probability density function shows the probability of FNC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FNC Entertainment price to stay between its current price of W 3,050  and W 3,210  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FNC Entertainment has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FNC Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FNC Entertainment Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FNC Entertainment Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FNC Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FNC Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FNC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,0473,0503,053
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7732,7763,355
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,0653,0683,070
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,9203,2363,553
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FNC Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FNC Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FNC Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FNC Entertainment.

FNC Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FNC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FNC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FNC Entertainment Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FNC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
217.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

FNC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FNC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FNC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FNC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 74.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.42 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.59 B.
FNC Entertainment Co has accumulated about 24.27 B in cash with (2.77 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

FNC Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FNC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FNC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FNC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.3 B

FNC Entertainment Technical Analysis

FNC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FNC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FNC Entertainment Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing FNC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FNC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

FNC Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many FNC Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FNC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FNC Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about FNC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FNC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FNC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 74.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.42 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.59 B.
FNC Entertainment Co has accumulated about 24.27 B in cash with (2.77 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in FNC Stock

FNC Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether FNC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FNC with respect to the benefits of owning FNC Entertainment security.