Johnson Health (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 141.17
| 1736 Stock | TWD 193.00 2.50 1.31% |
Johnson |
Johnson Health Target Price Odds to finish below 141.17
The tendency of Johnson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 141.17 or more in 90 days |
| 193.00 | 90 days | 141.17 | about 28.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Health to drop to NT$ 141.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.64 (This Johnson Health Tech probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Johnson Health Tech price to stay between NT$ 141.17 and its current price of NT$193.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Johnson Health Tech has a beta of -0.0766. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Johnson Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Johnson Health Tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Johnson Health Tech has an alpha of 0.7829, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Johnson Health Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Johnson Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Health Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Johnson Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Health Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Johnson Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Health Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Johnson Health Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Johnson Health Tech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Johnson Health Tech has accumulated about 3.8 B in cash with (3.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.52. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Johnson Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johnson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johnson Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 302.6 M |
Johnson Health Technical Analysis
Johnson Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johnson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johnson Health Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johnson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Johnson Health Predictive Forecast Models
Johnson Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Johnson Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Johnson Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Johnson Health Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Health Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Johnson Health Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Johnson Health Tech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Johnson Health Tech has accumulated about 3.8 B in cash with (3.54 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.52. | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Johnson Stock Analysis
When running Johnson Health's price analysis, check to measure Johnson Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Health is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.