Grape King (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 151.32
| 1707 Stock | TWD 156.50 0.50 0.32% |
Grape |
Grape King Target Price Odds to finish below 151.32
The tendency of Grape Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 151.32 or more in 90 days |
| 156.50 | 90 days | 151.32 | about 59.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grape King to drop to NT$ 151.32 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.22 (This Grape King Bio probability density function shows the probability of Grape Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grape King Bio price to stay between NT$ 151.32 and its current price of NT$156.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grape King Bio has a beta of -0.0229. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grape King are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grape King Bio is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grape King Bio has an alpha of 0.1282, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grape King Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grape King
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grape King Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grape King Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grape King is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grape King's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grape King Bio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grape King within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Grape King Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grape King for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grape King Bio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grape King Bio has accumulated 87.38 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Grape King Bio has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grape King until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grape King's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grape King Bio sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grape to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grape King's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 20.0% of Grape King shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Grape King Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grape Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grape King's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grape King's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.1 M |
Grape King Technical Analysis
Grape King's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grape Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grape King Bio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grape Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grape King Predictive Forecast Models
Grape King's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grape King's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grape King's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grape King Bio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grape King for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grape King Bio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grape King Bio has accumulated 87.38 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Grape King Bio has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grape King until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grape King's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grape King Bio sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grape to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grape King's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 20.0% of Grape King shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Grape Stock Analysis
When running Grape King's price analysis, check to measure Grape King's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grape King is operating at the current time. Most of Grape King's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grape King's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grape King's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grape King to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.