159792 (China) Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 0.48
| 159792 Etf | 0.73 0.02 2.82% |
159792 |
159792 Target Price Odds to finish below 0.48
The tendency of 159792 Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.48 or more in 90 days |
| 0.73 | 90 days | 0.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 159792 to drop to 0.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 159792 probability density function shows the probability of 159792 Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 159792 price to stay between 0.48 and its current price of 0.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 159792 has a beta of 0.0571. This suggests as returns on the market go up, 159792 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 159792 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 159792 has an alpha of 0.4204, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 159792 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 159792
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 159792. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 159792. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 159792's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 159792's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 159792.159792 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 159792 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 159792's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 159792, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 159792 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
159792 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 159792 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 159792 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 159792 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
159792 Technical Analysis
159792's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 159792 Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 159792. In general, you should focus on analyzing 159792 Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
159792 Predictive Forecast Models
159792's time-series forecasting models is one of many 159792's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 159792's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 159792
Checking the ongoing alerts about 159792 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 159792 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 159792 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |