Lan Fa (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.07
| 1459 Stock | TWD 9.75 0.03 0.31% |
Lan |
Lan Fa Target Price Odds to finish below 9.07
The tendency of Lan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 9.07 or more in 90 days |
| 9.75 | 90 days | 9.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lan Fa to drop to NT$ 9.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lan Fa Textile probability density function shows the probability of Lan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lan Fa Textile price to stay between NT$ 9.07 and its current price of NT$9.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lan Fa has a beta of 0.0101. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lan Fa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lan Fa Textile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lan Fa Textile has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lan Fa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lan Fa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lan Fa Textile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lan Fa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lan Fa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lan Fa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lan Fa Textile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lan Fa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Lan Fa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lan Fa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lan Fa Textile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lan Fa Textile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Lan Fa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lan Fa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lan Fa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 317.5 M |
Lan Fa Technical Analysis
Lan Fa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lan Fa Textile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lan Fa Predictive Forecast Models
Lan Fa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lan Fa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lan Fa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lan Fa Textile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lan Fa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lan Fa Textile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lan Fa Textile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Lan Stock Analysis
When running Lan Fa's price analysis, check to measure Lan Fa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lan Fa is operating at the current time. Most of Lan Fa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lan Fa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lan Fa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lan Fa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.