Hugel (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 255500.0

145020 Stock  KRW 265,000  18,000  7.29%   
Hugel's future price is the expected price of Hugel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hugel Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hugel Backtesting, Hugel Valuation, Hugel Correlation, Hugel Hype Analysis, Hugel Volatility, Hugel History as well as Hugel Performance.
  
Please specify Hugel's target price for which you would like Hugel odds to be computed.

Hugel Target Price Odds to finish over 255500.0

The tendency of Hugel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 255,500  in 90 days
 265,000 90 days 255,500 
about 72.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hugel to stay above W 255,500  in 90 days from now is about 72.81 (This Hugel Inc probability density function shows the probability of Hugel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hugel Inc price to stay between W 255,500  and its current price of W265000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hugel Inc has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hugel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hugel Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hugel Inc has an alpha of 0.1372, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hugel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hugel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hugel Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
264,996265,000265,004
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
229,001229,005291,500
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
268,060268,064268,068
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
246,794272,556298,317
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hugel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hugel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hugel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hugel Inc.

Hugel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hugel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hugel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hugel Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hugel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
16,368
Ir
Information ratio -0.003

Hugel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hugel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hugel Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hugel Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hugel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hugel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hugel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hugel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments552.1 B

Hugel Technical Analysis

Hugel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hugel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hugel Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hugel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hugel Predictive Forecast Models

Hugel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hugel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hugel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hugel Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hugel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hugel Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hugel Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Hugel Stock

Hugel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hugel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hugel with respect to the benefits of owning Hugel security.