Vina Technology (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23593.5

126340 Stock  KRW 28,350  5,050  21.67%   
Vina Technology's future price is the expected price of Vina Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vina Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vina Technology Backtesting, Vina Technology Valuation, Vina Technology Correlation, Vina Technology Hype Analysis, Vina Technology Volatility, Vina Technology History as well as Vina Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Vina Technology's target price for which you would like Vina Technology odds to be computed.

Vina Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 23593.5

The tendency of Vina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 23,594  in 90 days
 28,350 90 days 23,594 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vina Technology to stay above W 23,594  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Vina Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Vina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vina Technology price to stay between W 23,594  and its current price of W28350.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vina Technology has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Vina Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vina Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vina Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vina Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vina Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vina Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28,34628,35028,354
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23,81023,81431,185
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28,80328,80728,811
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,78827,98335,178
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vina Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vina Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vina Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vina Technology.

Vina Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vina Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vina Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vina Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vina Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
5,259
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Vina Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vina Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vina Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vina Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vina Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Vina Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vina Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vina Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.7 B

Vina Technology Technical Analysis

Vina Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vina Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vina Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Vina Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vina Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vina Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vina Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vina Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vina Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vina Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vina Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Vina Stock

Vina Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vina Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vina with respect to the benefits of owning Vina Technology security.