Liechtensteinische (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68.05

0RP8 Stock   68.70  0.80  1.15%   
Liechtensteinische's future price is the expected price of Liechtensteinische instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Liechtensteinische Backtesting, Liechtensteinische Valuation, Liechtensteinische Correlation, Liechtensteinische Hype Analysis, Liechtensteinische Volatility, Liechtensteinische History as well as Liechtensteinische Performance.
  
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Liechtensteinische Target Price Odds to finish below 68.05

The tendency of Liechtensteinische Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  68.05  or more in 90 days
 68.70 90 days 68.05 
roughly 2.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liechtensteinische to drop to  68.05  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.54 (This Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG probability density function shows the probability of Liechtensteinische Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liechtensteinische price to stay between  68.05  and its current price of 68.7 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG has a beta of -0.0064. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liechtensteinische are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Liechtensteinische Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liechtensteinische

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liechtensteinische. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.0568.7069.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.8382.3082.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.2269.8770.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.8269.6871.54
Details

Liechtensteinische Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liechtensteinische is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liechtensteinische's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liechtensteinische within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0064
σ
Overall volatility
1.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Liechtensteinische Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liechtensteinische for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liechtensteinische can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liechtensteinische generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Liechtensteinische generates negative cash flow from operations
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Liechtensteinische Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liechtensteinische Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liechtensteinische's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liechtensteinische's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments386.6 M

Liechtensteinische Technical Analysis

Liechtensteinische's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liechtensteinische Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liechtensteinische Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Liechtensteinische Predictive Forecast Models

Liechtensteinische's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liechtensteinische's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liechtensteinische's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Liechtensteinische

Checking the ongoing alerts about Liechtensteinische for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liechtensteinische help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liechtensteinische generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Liechtensteinische generates negative cash flow from operations
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Liechtensteinische Stock Analysis

When running Liechtensteinische's price analysis, check to measure Liechtensteinische's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liechtensteinische is operating at the current time. Most of Liechtensteinische's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liechtensteinische's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liechtensteinische's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liechtensteinische to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.