FinecoBank SpA (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.95
| 0QVF Stock | 17.45 0.39 2.29% |
FinecoBank |
FinecoBank SpA Target Price Odds to finish below 15.95
The tendency of FinecoBank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.95 or more in 90 days |
| 17.45 | 90 days | 15.95 | about 66.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FinecoBank SpA to drop to 15.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.45 (This FinecoBank SpA probability density function shows the probability of FinecoBank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FinecoBank SpA price to stay between 15.95 and its current price of 17.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FinecoBank SpA has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FinecoBank SpA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FinecoBank SpA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FinecoBank SpA has an alpha of 0.2704, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FinecoBank SpA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FinecoBank SpA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FinecoBank SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FinecoBank SpA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FinecoBank SpA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FinecoBank SpA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FinecoBank SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FinecoBank SpA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
FinecoBank SpA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FinecoBank SpA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FinecoBank SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FinecoBank SpA generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FinecoBank, December brings annual inflows over EUR10 billion - Marketscreener.com |
FinecoBank SpA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FinecoBank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FinecoBank SpA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FinecoBank SpA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
FinecoBank SpA Technical Analysis
FinecoBank SpA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FinecoBank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FinecoBank SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing FinecoBank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FinecoBank SpA Predictive Forecast Models
FinecoBank SpA's time-series forecasting models is one of many FinecoBank SpA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FinecoBank SpA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FinecoBank SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about FinecoBank SpA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FinecoBank SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FinecoBank SpA generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FinecoBank, December brings annual inflows over EUR10 billion - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for FinecoBank Stock Analysis
When running FinecoBank SpA's price analysis, check to measure FinecoBank SpA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FinecoBank SpA is operating at the current time. Most of FinecoBank SpA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FinecoBank SpA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FinecoBank SpA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FinecoBank SpA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.