CM AM (Germany) Chance of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 105.93
| 0P0001F96C | 106.29 0.02 0.02% |
0P0001F96C |
CM AM Target Price Odds to finish below 105.93
The tendency of 0P0001F96C Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 105.93 or more in 90 days |
| 106.29 | 90 days | 105.93 | about 59.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CM AM to drop to 105.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.35 (This CM AM Monplus NE probability density function shows the probability of 0P0001F96C Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CM AM Monplus price to stay between 105.93 and its current price of 106.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CM AM has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and CM AM do not appear to be reactive. Additionally It does not look like CM AM's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. CM AM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CM AM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CM AM Monplus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CM AM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CM AM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CM AM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CM AM Monplus NE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CM AM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -2.26 |
CM AM Technical Analysis
CM AM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0P0001F96C Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CM AM Monplus NE. In general, you should focus on analyzing 0P0001F96C Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CM AM Predictive Forecast Models
CM AM's time-series forecasting models is one of many CM AM's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CM AM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CM AM in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CM AM's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CM AM options trading.
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