Azvalor Global (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 197.81
| 0P00018HSS | 191.71 2.00 1.03% |
Azvalor |
Azvalor Global Target Price Odds to finish below 197.81
The tendency of Azvalor Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 197.81 after 90 days |
| 191.71 | 90 days | 197.81 | about 31.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Azvalor Global to stay under 197.81 after 90 days from now is about 31.3 (This Azvalor Global Value probability density function shows the probability of Azvalor Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Azvalor Global Value price to stay between its current price of 191.71 and 197.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Azvalor Global has a beta of 0.0479. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Azvalor Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Azvalor Global Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Azvalor Global Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Azvalor Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Azvalor Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Azvalor Global Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Azvalor Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Azvalor Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Azvalor Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Azvalor Global Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Azvalor Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Azvalor Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Azvalor Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Azvalor Global Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Azvalor Global Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Azvalor Global Technical Analysis
Azvalor Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Azvalor Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Azvalor Global Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Azvalor Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Azvalor Global Predictive Forecast Models
Azvalor Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Azvalor Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Azvalor Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Azvalor Global Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about Azvalor Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Azvalor Global Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Azvalor Global Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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