Esfera Robotics (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 313.63

0P00017QSQ  EUR 348.48  1.99  0.57%   
Esfera Robotics' future price is the expected price of Esfera Robotics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Esfera Robotics R performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Esfera Robotics Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Esfera Robotics Correlation, Esfera Robotics Hype Analysis, Esfera Robotics Volatility, Esfera Robotics History as well as Esfera Robotics Performance.
  
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Esfera Robotics Target Price Odds to finish below 313.63

The tendency of Esfera Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 313.63  or more in 90 days
 348.48 90 days 313.63 
about 15.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Esfera Robotics to drop to € 313.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.79 (This Esfera Robotics R probability density function shows the probability of Esfera Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Esfera Robotics R price to stay between € 313.63  and its current price of €348.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Esfera Robotics has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Esfera Robotics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Esfera Robotics R will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Esfera Robotics R has an alpha of 0.1762, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Esfera Robotics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Esfera Robotics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Esfera Robotics R. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
347.38348.48349.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
313.63376.15377.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
349.27350.37351.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
345.72355.39365.07
Details

Esfera Robotics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Esfera Robotics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Esfera Robotics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Esfera Robotics R, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Esfera Robotics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
19.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Esfera Robotics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Esfera Robotics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Esfera Robotics R can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 38.36% of its total net assets in cash

Esfera Robotics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Esfera Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Esfera Robotics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esfera Robotics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Esfera Robotics Technical Analysis

Esfera Robotics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Esfera Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Esfera Robotics R. In general, you should focus on analyzing Esfera Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Esfera Robotics Predictive Forecast Models

Esfera Robotics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Esfera Robotics' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Esfera Robotics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Esfera Robotics R

Checking the ongoing alerts about Esfera Robotics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Esfera Robotics R help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 38.36% of its total net assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Esfera Fund

Esfera Robotics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Esfera Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Esfera with respect to the benefits of owning Esfera Robotics security.
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