Amundi Label (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 301.58

0P00008W6M  EUR 304.67  0.00  0.00%   
Amundi Label's future price is the expected price of Amundi Label instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amundi Label Actions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amundi Label Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amundi Label Correlation, Amundi Label Hype Analysis, Amundi Label Volatility, Amundi Label History as well as Amundi Label Performance.
  
Please specify Amundi Label's target price for which you would like Amundi Label odds to be computed.

Amundi Label Target Price Odds to finish below 301.58

The tendency of Amundi Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 301.58  or more in 90 days
 304.67 90 days 301.58 
about 53.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi Label to drop to € 301.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.74 (This Amundi Label Actions probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi Label Actions price to stay between € 301.58  and its current price of €304.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi Label has a beta of 0.0147. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amundi Label average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi Label Actions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi Label Actions has an alpha of 0.0201, implying that it can generate a 0.0201 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amundi Label Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amundi Label

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Label Actions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
303.97304.67305.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
303.16303.86335.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
299.08299.78300.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
291.84301.12310.40
Details

Amundi Label Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi Label is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi Label's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi Label Actions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi Label within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
4.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.0024

Amundi Label Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi Label for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi Label Actions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amundi Label Actions generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds all of the total net assets in various exotic instrument

Amundi Label Technical Analysis

Amundi Label's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi Label Actions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amundi Label Predictive Forecast Models

Amundi Label's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi Label's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi Label's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amundi Label Actions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi Label for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi Label Actions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amundi Label Actions generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds all of the total net assets in various exotic instrument

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Fund

Amundi Label financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi Label security.
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