Fidelity Canadian Growth Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 138.83

0P000075FV   132.22  1.34  1.00%   
Fidelity Canadian's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Canadian instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Canadian Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fidelity Canadian Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Canadian Correlation, Fidelity Canadian Hype Analysis, Fidelity Canadian Volatility, Fidelity Canadian History as well as Fidelity Canadian Performance.
  
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Fidelity Canadian Target Price Odds to finish over 138.83

The tendency of Fidelity Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  138.83  or more in 90 days
 132.22 90 days 138.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Canadian to move over  138.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fidelity Canadian Growth probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity Canadian Growth price to stay between its current price of  132.22  and  138.83  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fidelity Canadian has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fidelity Canadian average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity Canadian Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidelity Canadian Growth has an alpha of 0.1605, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fidelity Canadian Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Canadian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Canadian Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.63132.22132.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.00141.31141.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
131.55132.14132.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
128.63130.19131.75
Details

Fidelity Canadian Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Canadian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Canadian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Canadian Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Canadian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
5.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Fidelity Canadian Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Canadian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Canadian Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days

Fidelity Canadian Technical Analysis

Fidelity Canadian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Canadian Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Canadian Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Canadian's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Canadian's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Canadian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Canadian Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Canadian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Canadian Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Fund

Fidelity Canadian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Canadian security.
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