BBVA Telecomunicacion (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 27.37
| 0P000011YA | EUR 30.60 0.00 0.00% |
BBVA |
BBVA Telecomunicacion Target Price Odds to finish below 27.37
The tendency of BBVA Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 27.37 or more in 90 days |
| 30.60 | 90 days | 27.37 | about 8.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBVA Telecomunicacion to drop to € 27.37 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.55 (This BBVA Telecomunicaciones PP probability density function shows the probability of BBVA Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBVA Telecomunicaciones price to stay between € 27.37 and its current price of €30.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BBVA Telecomunicacion has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, BBVA Telecomunicacion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BBVA Telecomunicaciones PP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BBVA Telecomunicaciones PP has an alpha of 0.1611, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BBVA Telecomunicacion Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BBVA Telecomunicacion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVA Telecomunicaciones. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BBVA Telecomunicacion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBVA Telecomunicacion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBVA Telecomunicacion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBVA Telecomunicaciones PP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBVA Telecomunicacion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
BBVA Telecomunicacion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBVA Telecomunicacion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBVA Telecomunicaciones can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 8.25% of its total net assets in cash |
BBVA Telecomunicacion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBVA Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BBVA Telecomunicacion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBVA Telecomunicacion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
BBVA Telecomunicacion Technical Analysis
BBVA Telecomunicacion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBVA Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBVA Telecomunicaciones PP. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBVA Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BBVA Telecomunicacion Predictive Forecast Models
BBVA Telecomunicacion's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBVA Telecomunicacion's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBVA Telecomunicacion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BBVA Telecomunicaciones
Checking the ongoing alerts about BBVA Telecomunicacion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBVA Telecomunicaciones help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 8.25% of its total net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in BBVA Fund
BBVA Telecomunicacion financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBVA Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBVA with respect to the benefits of owning BBVA Telecomunicacion security.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets |