Vastned Retail (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.78

0LNJ Stock   21.78  0.00  0.00%   
Vastned Retail's future price is the expected price of Vastned Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vastned Retail NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
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Vastned Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 21.78

The tendency of Vastned Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 21.78 90 days 21.78 
about 12.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vastned Retail to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 12.35 (This Vastned Retail NV probability density function shows the probability of Vastned Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vastned Retail has a beta of 0.0863. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Vastned Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vastned Retail NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vastned Retail NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vastned Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vastned Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vastned Retail NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7521.7622.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8921.9022.91
Details

Vastned Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vastned Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vastned Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vastned Retail NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vastned Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Vastned Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vastned Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vastned Retail NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vastned Retail NV is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vastned Retail NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vastned Retail NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 73.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.18 M.
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Approval and publication of the prospectus concerning the admission to trading in connection with the reverse cross-border legal merger with Vastned Retail - Yahoo Finance

Vastned Retail Technical Analysis

Vastned Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vastned Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vastned Retail NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vastned Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vastned Retail Predictive Forecast Models

Vastned Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vastned Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vastned Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vastned Retail NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vastned Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vastned Retail NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vastned Retail NV is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vastned Retail NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vastned Retail NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 73.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.18 M.
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Approval and publication of the prospectus concerning the admission to trading in connection with the reverse cross-border legal merger with Vastned Retail - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Vastned Stock Analysis

When running Vastned Retail's price analysis, check to measure Vastned Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vastned Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Vastned Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vastned Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vastned Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vastned Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.