Roper Technologies (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 538.58

0KXM Stock   524.69  2.41  0.46%   
Roper Technologies' future price is the expected price of Roper Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roper Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roper Technologies Backtesting, Roper Technologies Valuation, Roper Technologies Correlation, Roper Technologies Hype Analysis, Roper Technologies Volatility, Roper Technologies History as well as Roper Technologies Performance.
  
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Roper Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 538.58

The tendency of Roper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  538.58  after 90 days
 524.69 90 days 538.58 
about 18.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roper Technologies to stay under  538.58  after 90 days from now is about 18.63 (This Roper Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Roper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roper Technologies price to stay between its current price of  524.69  and  538.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Roper Technologies has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Roper Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Roper Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Roper Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Roper Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roper Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roper Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
523.55524.69525.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
472.22537.96539.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
524.83525.97527.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
513.79546.09578.38
Details

Roper Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roper Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roper Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roper Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roper Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
12.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Roper Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roper Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roper Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roper Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Roper Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roper Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roper Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments214.3 M

Roper Technologies Technical Analysis

Roper Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roper Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roper Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Roper Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Roper Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roper Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roper Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roper Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roper Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roper Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Tools for Roper Stock Analysis

When running Roper Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Roper Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roper Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Roper Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roper Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roper Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roper Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.