AFFLUENT MEDICAL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.00
| 0JZ Stock | 1.38 0.04 2.99% |
AFFLUENT |
AFFLUENT MEDICAL Target Price Odds to finish over 14.00
The tendency of AFFLUENT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 14.00 or more in 90 days |
| 1.38 | 90 days | 14.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFFLUENT MEDICAL to move over 14.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS probability density function shows the probability of AFFLUENT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS price to stay between its current price of 1.38 and 14.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AFFLUENT MEDICAL has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AFFLUENT MEDICAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AFFLUENT MEDICAL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFFLUENT MEDICAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AFFLUENT MEDICAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFFLUENT MEDICAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFFLUENT MEDICAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFFLUENT MEDICAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
AFFLUENT MEDICAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFFLUENT MEDICAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
AFFLUENT MEDICAL Technical Analysis
AFFLUENT MEDICAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFFLUENT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFFLUENT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFFLUENT MEDICAL Predictive Forecast Models
AFFLUENT MEDICAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFFLUENT MEDICAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFFLUENT MEDICAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFFLUENT MEDICAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AFFLUENT MEDICAL SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance |