Federal Realty (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 113.32
| 0IL1 Stock | 111.60 0.46 0.41% |
Federal |
Federal Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 113.32
The tendency of Federal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 113.32 or more in 90 days |
| 111.60 | 90 days | 113.32 | about 49.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Realty to move over 113.32 or more in 90 days from now is about 49.23 (This Federal Realty Investment probability density function shows the probability of Federal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federal Realty Investment price to stay between its current price of 111.60 and 113.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Federal Realty Investment has a beta of -0.0222. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Federal Realty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Federal Realty Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Federal Realty Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Federal Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Realty Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federal Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Realty Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Federal Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Realty Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: JPMorgan Chase Co. Upgrades Federal Realty Investment Trust to Overweight - MarketBeat |
Federal Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 255.5 M |
Federal Realty Technical Analysis
Federal Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federal Realty Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federal Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Federal Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federal Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federal Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federal Realty Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Realty Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federal Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: JPMorgan Chase Co. Upgrades Federal Realty Investment Trust to Overweight - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Federal Stock Analysis
When running Federal Realty's price analysis, check to measure Federal Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.