Focus Home (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.75

0HF Stock  EUR 21.10  2.30  12.23%   
Focus Home's future price is the expected price of Focus Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Focus Home Interactive performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Focus Home Backtesting, Focus Home Valuation, Focus Home Correlation, Focus Home Hype Analysis, Focus Home Volatility, Focus Home History as well as Focus Home Performance.
  
Please specify Focus Home's target price for which you would like Focus Home odds to be computed.

Focus Home Target Price Odds to finish over 32.75

The tendency of Focus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 32.75  or more in 90 days
 21.10 90 days 32.75 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focus Home to move over € 32.75  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Focus Home Interactive probability density function shows the probability of Focus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Focus Home Interactive price to stay between its current price of € 21.10  and € 32.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Focus Home Interactive has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Focus Home are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Focus Home Interactive is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Focus Home Interactive has an alpha of 0.0674, implying that it can generate a 0.0674 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Focus Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Focus Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focus Home Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5221.1024.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4417.0223.21
Details

Focus Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focus Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focus Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focus Home Interactive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focus Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Focus Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focus Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focus Home Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Focus Home had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Focus Home Interactive has accumulated about 19.5 M in cash with (8.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.66.
Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Focus Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Focus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Focus Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Focus Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.2 M

Focus Home Technical Analysis

Focus Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focus Home Interactive. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Focus Home Predictive Forecast Models

Focus Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Focus Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Focus Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Focus Home Interactive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Focus Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focus Home Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Focus Home had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Focus Home Interactive has accumulated about 19.5 M in cash with (8.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.66.
Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Focus Stock

Focus Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Focus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Focus with respect to the benefits of owning Focus Home security.