American Tower (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 218.07

0HEU Stock   206.52  1.96  0.94%   
American Tower's future price is the expected price of American Tower instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Tower REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Tower Backtesting, American Tower Valuation, American Tower Correlation, American Tower Hype Analysis, American Tower Volatility, American Tower History as well as American Tower Performance.
  
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American Tower Target Price Odds to finish over 218.07

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  218.07  or more in 90 days
 206.52 90 days 218.07 
about 53.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Tower to move over  218.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.33 (This American Tower REIT probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Tower REIT price to stay between its current price of  206.52  and  218.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Tower REIT has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Tower are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Tower REIT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Tower REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Tower Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Tower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Tower REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.91206.46208.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
176.02177.57227.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
215.36216.91218.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
202.04206.10210.15
Details

American Tower Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Tower is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Tower's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Tower REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Tower within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
13.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

American Tower Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Tower for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Tower REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Tower REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Tower REIT is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cornerstone Advisors LLC Has 2.40 Million Holdings in American Tower Co. - MarketBeat

American Tower Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Tower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Tower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding467.2 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

American Tower Technical Analysis

American Tower's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Tower REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Tower Predictive Forecast Models

American Tower's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Tower's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Tower's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Tower REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Tower for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Tower REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Tower REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
American Tower REIT is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cornerstone Advisors LLC Has 2.40 Million Holdings in American Tower Co. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American Tower's price analysis, check to measure American Tower's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Tower is operating at the current time. Most of American Tower's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Tower's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Tower's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Tower to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.