United Internet (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.91

0GE4 Stock   16.51  0.18  1.10%   
United Internet's future price is the expected price of United Internet instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Internet AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United Internet Backtesting, United Internet Valuation, United Internet Correlation, United Internet Hype Analysis, United Internet Volatility, United Internet History as well as United Internet Performance.
  
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United Internet Target Price Odds to finish below 18.91

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  18.91  after 90 days
 16.51 90 days 18.91 
about 72.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Internet to stay under  18.91  after 90 days from now is about 72.0 (This United Internet AG probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Internet AG price to stay between its current price of  16.51  and  18.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon United Internet AG has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding United Internet are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, United Internet AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally United Internet AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   United Internet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Internet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Internet AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8516.1018.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0214.2716.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.3117.5619.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.8517.1720.50
Details

United Internet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Internet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Internet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Internet AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Internet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

United Internet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Internet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Internet AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Internet AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Internet AG is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Germany stocks higher at close of trade DAX up 0.64 percent - MSN

United Internet Technical Analysis

United Internet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Internet AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Internet Predictive Forecast Models

United Internet's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Internet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Internet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Internet AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Internet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Internet AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Internet AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Internet AG is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Germany stocks higher at close of trade DAX up 0.64 percent - MSN

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United Internet's price analysis, check to measure United Internet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Internet is operating at the current time. Most of United Internet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Internet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Internet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Internet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.