Anfield Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.52

0ADN Stock  EUR 0.05  0  7.00%   
Anfield Resources' future price is the expected price of Anfield Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anfield Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anfield Resources Backtesting, Anfield Resources Valuation, Anfield Resources Correlation, Anfield Resources Hype Analysis, Anfield Resources Volatility, Anfield Resources History as well as Anfield Resources Performance.
  
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Anfield Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 12.52

The tendency of Anfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 12.52  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 12.52 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anfield Resources to move over € 12.52  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Anfield Resources probability density function shows the probability of Anfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anfield Resources price to stay between its current price of € 0.05  and € 12.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.3 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Anfield Resources will likely underperform. Moreover Anfield Resources has an alpha of 1.4171, implying that it can generate a 1.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anfield Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anfield Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anfield Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0512.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0612.60
Details

Anfield Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anfield Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anfield Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anfield Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anfield Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Anfield Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anfield Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anfield Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anfield Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Anfield Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Anfield Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Anfield Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Anfield Resources has accumulated 25.46 K in total debt. Anfield Resources has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anfield Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anfield Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anfield Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anfield to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anfield Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (9.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Anfield Resources has accumulated about 400 K in cash with (4.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Anfield Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anfield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anfield Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anfield Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding309.2 M

Anfield Resources Technical Analysis

Anfield Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anfield Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anfield Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anfield Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anfield Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Anfield Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Anfield Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anfield Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anfield Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anfield Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anfield Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anfield Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Anfield Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Anfield Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Anfield Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Anfield Resources has accumulated 25.46 K in total debt. Anfield Resources has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anfield Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anfield Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anfield Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anfield to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anfield Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (9.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Anfield Resources has accumulated about 400 K in cash with (4.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Anfield Stock

Anfield Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anfield Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anfield with respect to the benefits of owning Anfield Resources security.