BioNTech (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.63

0A3M Stock  USD 118.25  0.30  0.25%   
BioNTech's future price is the expected price of BioNTech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BioNTech SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BioNTech Backtesting, BioNTech Valuation, BioNTech Correlation, BioNTech Hype Analysis, BioNTech Volatility, BioNTech History as well as BioNTech Performance.
  
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BioNTech Target Price Odds to finish below 90.63

The tendency of BioNTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 90.63  or more in 90 days
 118.25 90 days 90.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BioNTech to drop to $ 90.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BioNTech SE probability density function shows the probability of BioNTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BioNTech SE price to stay between $ 90.63  and its current price of $118.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BioNTech has a beta of 0.53. This suggests as returns on the market go up, BioNTech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BioNTech SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BioNTech SE has an alpha of 0.4595, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BioNTech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BioNTech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BioNTech SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.23118.24122.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.44115.45119.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
121.14125.15129.15
Details

BioNTech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BioNTech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BioNTech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BioNTech SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BioNTech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
8.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

BioNTech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BioNTech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BioNTech SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioNTech SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: BioNTechs SWOT analysis oncology pipeline fuels stocks potential amid market volatility - Investing.com

BioNTech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BioNTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BioNTech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BioNTech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237.7 M

BioNTech Technical Analysis

BioNTech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BioNTech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BioNTech SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing BioNTech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BioNTech Predictive Forecast Models

BioNTech's time-series forecasting models is one of many BioNTech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BioNTech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BioNTech SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about BioNTech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BioNTech SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioNTech SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: BioNTechs SWOT analysis oncology pipeline fuels stocks potential amid market volatility - Investing.com
When determining whether BioNTech SE offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BioNTech's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Biontech Se Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Biontech Se Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between BioNTech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BioNTech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BioNTech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.