ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,656
| 095190 Stock | KRW 1,770 51.00 2.97% |
ENERGYMACHINERY |
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Target Price Odds to finish below 1,656
The tendency of ENERGYMACHINERY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,770 | 90 days | 1,770 | about 7.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 7.66 (This ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of ENERGYMACHINERY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has a beta of 0.69. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 187.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has accumulated W39.78 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd has accumulated 39.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ENERGYMACHINERY to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 98.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.75 B. | |
| About 18.0% of ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA shares are owned by insiders or employees |
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ENERGYMACHINERY Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.8 B |
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Technical Analysis
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ENERGYMACHINERY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing ENERGYMACHINERY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA Predictive Forecast Models
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's time-series forecasting models is one of many ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA
Checking the ongoing alerts about ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has accumulated W39.78 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA CoLtd has accumulated 39.78 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ENERGYMACHINERY to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 98.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.75 B. | |
| About 18.0% of ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in ENERGYMACHINERY Stock
ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENERGYMACHINERY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENERGYMACHINERY with respect to the benefits of owning ENERGYMACHINERY KOREA security.