Sungchang Autotech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3701.86
| 080470 Stock | KRW 3,845 25.00 0.65% |
Sungchang |
Sungchang Autotech Target Price Odds to finish over 3701.86
The tendency of Sungchang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above W 3,702 in 90 days |
| 3,845 | 90 days | 3,702 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sungchang Autotech to stay above W 3,702 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Sungchang Autotech Co probability density function shows the probability of Sungchang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sungchang Autotech price to stay between W 3,702 and its current price of W3845.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sungchang Autotech Co has a beta of -0.37. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sungchang Autotech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sungchang Autotech Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sungchang Autotech Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sungchang Autotech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sungchang Autotech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sungchang Autotech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sungchang Autotech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sungchang Autotech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sungchang Autotech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sungchang Autotech Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sungchang Autotech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 218.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Sungchang Autotech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sungchang Autotech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sungchang Autotech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sungchang Autotech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sungchang Autotech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sungchang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sungchang Autotech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sungchang Autotech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
Sungchang Autotech Technical Analysis
Sungchang Autotech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sungchang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sungchang Autotech Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sungchang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sungchang Autotech Predictive Forecast Models
Sungchang Autotech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sungchang Autotech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sungchang Autotech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sungchang Autotech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sungchang Autotech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sungchang Autotech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sungchang Autotech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Sungchang Stock
Sungchang Autotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sungchang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sungchang with respect to the benefits of owning Sungchang Autotech security.