System (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1425.68

060540 Stock  KRW 1,258  37.00  2.86%   
System's future price is the expected price of System instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of System and Application performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out System Backtesting, System Valuation, System Correlation, System Hype Analysis, System Volatility, System History as well as System Performance.
  
Please specify System's target price for which you would like System odds to be computed.

System Target Price Odds to finish below 1425.68

The tendency of System Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 1,426  after 90 days
 1,258 90 days 1,426 
about 28.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of System to stay under W 1,426  after 90 days from now is about 28.22 (This System and Application probability density function shows the probability of System Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of System and Application price to stay between its current price of W 1,258  and W 1,426  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon System has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, System average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding System and Application will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally System and Application has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   System Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for System

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as System and Application. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2561,2581,260
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0541,0571,384
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1771,1791,181
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2521,3961,541
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as System. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against System's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, System's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in System and Application.

System Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. System is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the System's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold System and Application, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of System within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
92.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

System Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of System for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for System and Application can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
System generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

System Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of System Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential System's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. System's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.8 B

System Technical Analysis

System's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. System Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of System and Application. In general, you should focus on analyzing System Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

System Predictive Forecast Models

System's time-series forecasting models is one of many System's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary System's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about System and Application

Checking the ongoing alerts about System for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for System and Application help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
System generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in System Stock

System financial ratios help investors to determine whether System Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in System with respect to the benefits of owning System security.