KEPCO Engineering (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68000.0
| 052690 Stock | 49,800 150.00 0.30% |
KEPCO |
KEPCO Engineering Target Price Odds to finish below 68000.0
The tendency of KEPCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 68,000 after 90 days |
| 49,800 | 90 days | 68,000 | about 55.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KEPCO Engineering to stay under 68,000 after 90 days from now is about 55.88 (This KEPCO Engineering Construction probability density function shows the probability of KEPCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KEPCO Engineering price to stay between its current price of 49,800 and 68,000 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KEPCO Engineering has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KEPCO Engineering average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KEPCO Engineering Construction will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KEPCO Engineering Construction has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KEPCO Engineering Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KEPCO Engineering
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KEPCO Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KEPCO Engineering Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KEPCO Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KEPCO Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KEPCO Engineering Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KEPCO Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4,591 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
KEPCO Engineering Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KEPCO Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KEPCO Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KEPCO Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KEPCO Engineering has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KEPCO Engineering generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
KEPCO Engineering Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KEPCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KEPCO Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KEPCO Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38 M |
KEPCO Engineering Technical Analysis
KEPCO Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KEPCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KEPCO Engineering Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing KEPCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KEPCO Engineering Predictive Forecast Models
KEPCO Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many KEPCO Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KEPCO Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KEPCO Engineering
Checking the ongoing alerts about KEPCO Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KEPCO Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KEPCO Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KEPCO Engineering has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KEPCO Engineering generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in KEPCO Stock
KEPCO Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether KEPCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KEPCO with respect to the benefits of owning KEPCO Engineering security.