Phoenix Materials (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 803.73

050090 Stock  KRW 647.00  26.00  4.19%   
Phoenix Materials' future price is the expected price of Phoenix Materials instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Phoenix Materials Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Phoenix Materials Backtesting, Phoenix Materials Valuation, Phoenix Materials Correlation, Phoenix Materials Hype Analysis, Phoenix Materials Volatility, Phoenix Materials History as well as Phoenix Materials Performance.
  
Please specify Phoenix Materials' target price for which you would like Phoenix Materials odds to be computed.

Phoenix Materials Target Price Odds to finish over 803.73

The tendency of Phoenix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 803.73  or more in 90 days
 647.00 90 days 803.73 
about 33.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phoenix Materials to move over W 803.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.0 (This Phoenix Materials Co probability density function shows the probability of Phoenix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phoenix Materials price to stay between its current price of W 647.00  and W 803.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phoenix Materials Co has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Phoenix Materials are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Phoenix Materials Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Phoenix Materials Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Phoenix Materials Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Phoenix Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phoenix Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
644.03647.00649.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
581.04584.01711.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
632.85635.83638.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
624.52766.67908.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Phoenix Materials. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Phoenix Materials' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Phoenix Materials' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Phoenix Materials.

Phoenix Materials Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phoenix Materials is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phoenix Materials' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phoenix Materials Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phoenix Materials within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
70.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Phoenix Materials Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phoenix Materials for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phoenix Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phoenix Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phoenix Materials Co has accumulated 117.62 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Phoenix Materials has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Phoenix Materials until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Phoenix Materials' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Phoenix Materials sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Phoenix to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Phoenix Materials' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 9.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.04 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 978.89 M.
Phoenix Materials Co has accumulated about 254.52 M in cash with (2.85 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 54.47.
Roughly 30.0% of Phoenix Materials shares are owned by insiders or employees

Phoenix Materials Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phoenix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phoenix Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoenix Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.3 B

Phoenix Materials Technical Analysis

Phoenix Materials' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phoenix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phoenix Materials Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phoenix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Phoenix Materials Predictive Forecast Models

Phoenix Materials' time-series forecasting models is one of many Phoenix Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phoenix Materials' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Phoenix Materials

Checking the ongoing alerts about Phoenix Materials for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phoenix Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Phoenix Materials generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phoenix Materials Co has accumulated 117.62 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Phoenix Materials has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Phoenix Materials until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Phoenix Materials' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Phoenix Materials sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Phoenix to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Phoenix Materials' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 9.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.04 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 978.89 M.
Phoenix Materials Co has accumulated about 254.52 M in cash with (2.85 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 54.47.
Roughly 30.0% of Phoenix Materials shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Phoenix Stock

Phoenix Materials financial ratios help investors to determine whether Phoenix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Phoenix with respect to the benefits of owning Phoenix Materials security.