SM Entertainment (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 71,291

041510 Stock  KRW 84,800  1,200  1.44%   
SM Entertainment's future price is the expected price of SM Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SM Entertainment Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SM Entertainment Backtesting, SM Entertainment Valuation, SM Entertainment Correlation, SM Entertainment Hype Analysis, SM Entertainment Volatility, SM Entertainment History as well as SM Entertainment Performance.
  
Please specify SM Entertainment's target price for which you would like SM Entertainment odds to be computed.

SM Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 71,291

The tendency of 041510 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 84,800 90 days 84,800 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SM Entertainment to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This SM Entertainment Co probability density function shows the probability of 041510 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SM Entertainment has a beta of 0.0813. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SM Entertainment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SM Entertainment Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SM Entertainment Co has an alpha of 0.3894, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SM Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SM Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SM Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83,59783,60083,603
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77,42277,42591,960
Details

SM Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SM Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SM Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SM Entertainment Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SM Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
7,493
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

SM Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SM Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SM Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SM Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 041510 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SM Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SM Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments517.9 B

SM Entertainment Technical Analysis

SM Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 041510 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SM Entertainment Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 041510 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SM Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

SM Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many SM Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SM Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SM Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about SM Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SM Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 041510 Stock

SM Entertainment financial ratios help investors to determine whether 041510 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 041510 with respect to the benefits of owning SM Entertainment security.