JUSUNG ENGINEERING (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26,189

036930 Stock  KRW 27,800  100.00  0.36%   
JUSUNG ENGINEERING's future price is the expected price of JUSUNG ENGINEERING instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JUSUNG ENGINEERING Backtesting, JUSUNG ENGINEERING Valuation, JUSUNG ENGINEERING Correlation, JUSUNG ENGINEERING Hype Analysis, JUSUNG ENGINEERING Volatility, JUSUNG ENGINEERING History as well as JUSUNG ENGINEERING Performance.
  
Please specify JUSUNG ENGINEERING's target price for which you would like JUSUNG ENGINEERING odds to be computed.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Target Price Odds to finish below 26,189

The tendency of JUSUNG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 27,800 90 days 27,800 
about 54.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JUSUNG ENGINEERING to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 54.82 (This JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co probability density function shows the probability of JUSUNG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JUSUNG ENGINEERING has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, JUSUNG ENGINEERING average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co has an alpha of 0.1369, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JUSUNG ENGINEERING Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JUSUNG ENGINEERING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JUSUNG ENGINEERING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27,79627,80027,804
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23,21223,21630,580
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29,12429,12829,132
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26,39628,55830,721
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JUSUNG ENGINEERING. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JUSUNG ENGINEERING's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JUSUNG ENGINEERING's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JUSUNG ENGINEERING.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JUSUNG ENGINEERING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JUSUNG ENGINEERING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JUSUNG ENGINEERING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
2,361
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JUSUNG ENGINEERING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JUSUNG ENGINEERING can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JUSUNG ENGINEERING had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JUSUNG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JUSUNG ENGINEERING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JUSUNG ENGINEERING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments119.2 B

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Technical Analysis

JUSUNG ENGINEERING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JUSUNG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing JUSUNG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JUSUNG ENGINEERING Predictive Forecast Models

JUSUNG ENGINEERING's time-series forecasting models is one of many JUSUNG ENGINEERING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JUSUNG ENGINEERING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JUSUNG ENGINEERING

Checking the ongoing alerts about JUSUNG ENGINEERING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JUSUNG ENGINEERING help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JUSUNG ENGINEERING had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in JUSUNG Stock

JUSUNG ENGINEERING financial ratios help investors to determine whether JUSUNG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JUSUNG with respect to the benefits of owning JUSUNG ENGINEERING security.