Korea Gas (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38,919

036460 Stock   33,700  1,950  6.14%   
Korea Gas' future price is the expected price of Korea Gas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korea Gas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korea Gas Backtesting, Korea Gas Valuation, Korea Gas Correlation, Korea Gas Hype Analysis, Korea Gas Volatility, Korea Gas History as well as Korea Gas Performance.
  
Please specify Korea Gas' target price for which you would like Korea Gas odds to be computed.

Korea Gas Target Price Odds to finish over 38,919

The tendency of Korea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33,700 90 days 33,700 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Gas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Korea Gas probability density function shows the probability of Korea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korea Gas has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Korea Gas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Korea Gas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Korea Gas has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Korea Gas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korea Gas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33,69633,70033,704
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31,48531,49037,070
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24,88424,88924,893
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31,46341,07150,679
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Gas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Gas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Gas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Gas.

Korea Gas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Gas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Gas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Gas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
4,442
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Korea Gas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korea Gas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korea Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Korea Gas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Korea Gas generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Korea Gas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korea Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korea Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.8 M

Korea Gas Technical Analysis

Korea Gas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korea Gas Predictive Forecast Models

Korea Gas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Gas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Gas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korea Gas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korea Gas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korea Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Korea Gas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Korea Gas generates negative cash flow from operations
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Gas security.