Oriental Precision (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,607

014940 Stock  KRW 5,260  415.00  8.57%   
Oriental Precision's future price is the expected price of Oriental Precision instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oriental Precision Engineering performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oriental Precision Backtesting, Oriental Precision Valuation, Oriental Precision Correlation, Oriental Precision Hype Analysis, Oriental Precision Volatility, Oriental Precision History as well as Oriental Precision Performance.
  
Please specify Oriental Precision's target price for which you would like Oriental Precision odds to be computed.

Oriental Precision Target Price Odds to finish over 4,607

The tendency of Oriental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5,260 90 days 5,260 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oriental Precision to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Oriental Precision Engineering probability density function shows the probability of Oriental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oriental Precision has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Oriental Precision average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oriental Precision Engineering will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oriental Precision Engineering has an alpha of 0.546, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oriental Precision Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oriental Precision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oriental Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,2565,2605,264
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,7764,7805,786
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,4055,4095,413
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,2944,9095,524
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oriental Precision. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oriental Precision's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oriental Precision's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oriental Precision.

Oriental Precision Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oriental Precision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oriental Precision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oriental Precision Engineering, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oriental Precision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
609.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Oriental Precision Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oriental Precision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oriental Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oriental Precision had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Oriental Precision Engineering has accumulated about 8.02 B in cash with (1.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 375.05.
Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Oriental Precision Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oriental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oriental Precision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oriental Precision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.5 B

Oriental Precision Technical Analysis

Oriental Precision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oriental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oriental Precision Engineering. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oriental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oriental Precision Predictive Forecast Models

Oriental Precision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oriental Precision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oriental Precision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oriental Precision

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oriental Precision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oriental Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oriental Precision had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Oriental Precision Engineering has accumulated about 8.02 B in cash with (1.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 375.05.
Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Oriental Stock

Oriental Precision financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oriental Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oriental with respect to the benefits of owning Oriental Precision security.