JD (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.79
| 013C Stock | 19.50 1.90 10.80% |
JD |
JD Target Price Odds to finish below 19.79
The tendency of JD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 19.79 after 90 days |
| 19.50 | 90 days | 19.79 | about 86.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JD to stay under 19.79 after 90 days from now is about 86.08 (This JD Inc probability density function shows the probability of JD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JD Inc price to stay between its current price of 19.50 and 19.79 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JD has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, JD average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JD Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JD Inc has an alpha of 0.8312, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JD Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JD
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JD Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JD's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JD Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JD Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
JD Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JD Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JD Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
JD Technical Analysis
JD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JD Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing JD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JD Predictive Forecast Models
JD's time-series forecasting models is one of many JD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JD Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about JD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JD Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JD Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in JD Stock
JD financial ratios help investors to determine whether JD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JD with respect to the benefits of owning JD security.