Mobase Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1574.0

012860 Stock  KRW 1,427  2.00  0.14%   
Mobase Electronics' future price is the expected price of Mobase Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mobase Electronics CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mobase Electronics Backtesting, Mobase Electronics Valuation, Mobase Electronics Correlation, Mobase Electronics Hype Analysis, Mobase Electronics Volatility, Mobase Electronics History as well as Mobase Electronics Performance.
  
Please specify Mobase Electronics' target price for which you would like Mobase Electronics odds to be computed.

Mobase Electronics Target Price Odds to finish over 1574.0

The tendency of Mobase Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 1,574  or more in 90 days
 1,427 90 days 1,574 
about 83.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobase Electronics to move over W 1,574  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.02 (This Mobase Electronics CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Mobase Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobase Electronics CoLtd price to stay between its current price of W 1,427  and W 1,574  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobase Electronics has a beta of 0.0785. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mobase Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mobase Electronics CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mobase Electronics CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mobase Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobase Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobase Electronics CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4251,4271,429
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1681,1701,570
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mobase Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mobase Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mobase Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mobase Electronics CoLtd.

Mobase Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobase Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobase Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobase Electronics CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobase Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
143.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Mobase Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobase Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobase Electronics CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobase Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mobase Electronics has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Mobase Electronics CoLtd has accumulated 14.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 230.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mobase Electronics CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mobase Electronics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mobase Electronics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mobase Electronics CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mobase to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mobase Electronics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 35.0% of Mobase Electronics shares are owned by insiders or employees

Mobase Electronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mobase Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mobase Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobase Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.3 B

Mobase Electronics Technical Analysis

Mobase Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobase Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobase Electronics CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobase Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mobase Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Mobase Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobase Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobase Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mobase Electronics CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobase Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobase Electronics CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobase Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mobase Electronics has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Mobase Electronics CoLtd has accumulated 14.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 230.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mobase Electronics CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mobase Electronics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mobase Electronics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mobase Electronics CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mobase to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mobase Electronics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 35.0% of Mobase Electronics shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Mobase Stock

Mobase Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mobase Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mobase with respect to the benefits of owning Mobase Electronics security.